Impact of hepatitis B core‐related antigen on the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues

Summary

Background

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is an aetiologic factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Baseline HBV DNA is a known independent predictor of HCC, and the serum hepatitis B core‐related antigen (HBcrAg) level corresponds to intrahepatic covalently closed circular DNA.

Aim

To investigate whether the baseline and on‐treatment serum HBcrAg levels can predict HCC incidence in patients with chronic hepatitis B following nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included 1268 patients treated with NAs for >1 year. In all patients, serum HBcrAg and hepatitis B surface antigen levels were measured at baseline and 1 year.

Results

During a median follow‐up of 8.9 years, 113 patients (8.9%) developed HCC (10.3/1000 person‐years). These patients were stratified by baseline hepatitis B e‐antigen (HBeAg) status into HBeAg+ and HBeAg‐ cohorts. High on‐treatment HBcrAg levels at 1 year were found to associate significantly with HCC (HBeAg+ cohort: P = 0.017; HBeAg‐ cohort: P = 4.30 × 10⁻⁵; cut‐off values: 4.9 log U/mL and 4.4 log U/mL, respectively). In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, patients with persistently high on‐treatment HBcrAg levels had a higher risk of HCC than those with low HBcrAg levels (HBeAg+: hazard ratio [HR], 6.15, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.89‐20.0, P = 0.003; HBeAg‐ cohort: HR, 2.54, 95% CI: 1.40‐4.60; P = 0.002). A sub‐analysis of patients without alcoholism yielded similar findings.

Conclusions

Patients with persistently high on‐treatment HBcrAg levels were more likely to develop HCC despite sustained viral suppression via long‐term NA treatment.

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