Does air pollution trigger suicide? A case-crossover analysis of suicide deaths over the life span

Abstract

In addition to underlying health disorders and socio-economic or community factors, air pollution may trigger suicide mortality. This study evaluates the association between short-term variation in air pollution and 10 years of suicide mortality in Belgium. In a bidirectional time-stratified case-crossover design, 20,533 suicide deaths registered between January 1st 2002 and December 31st 2011 were matched by temperature with control days from the same month and year. We used municipality-level air pollution [particulate matter (PM₁₀) and O₃ concentrations] data and meteorology data. We applied conditional logistic regression models adjusted for duration of sunshine and day of the week to obtain odds ratios (OR) and their 95% CI for an increase of 10 µg/m³ in pollutant concentrations over different lag periods (lag 0, 0–1, 0–2, 0–3, 0–4, 0–5, and 0–6 days). Effect modification by season and age was investigated by including interaction terms. We observed significant associations of PM₁₀ and O₃ with suicide during summer (OR ranging from 1.02 to 1.07, p-values <0.05). For O₃, significant associations were also observed during spring and autumn. Age significantly modified the associations with PM₁₀, with statistically significant associations observed only among 5–14 year old children (lag 0–6: OR = 1.45; 95% CI: 1.03–2.04) and ≥85 years old (e.g. lag 0–4: OR = 1.17; 95% CI: 1.06–1.29). Recent increases in outdoor air pollutants such as PM₁₀ or O₃ can trigger suicide, particularly during warm periods, even at concentrations below the European thresholds. Furthermore, PM₁₀ may have strong trigger effects among children and elderly population.

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