The rapidly changing climate makes humans realize that there is a critical need to incorporate climate change adaptation into conservation planning. Whether the wintering habitats of Great Bustards (Otis tarda dybowskii), a globally endangered migratory subspecies whose population is approximately 1,500–2,200 individuals in China, would be still suitable in a changing climate environment, and where this could be found, is an important protection issue. In this study, we selected the most suitable species distribution model for bustards using climate envelopes from four machine learning models, combining two modelling approaches (TreeNet and Random Forest) with two sets of variables (correlated variables removed or not). We used common evaluation methods area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) and the True Skill Statistic (TSS) as well as independent test data to identify the most suitable model. As often found elsewhere, we found Random Forest with all environmental variables outperformed in all assessment methods. When we projected the best model to the latest IPCC-CMIP5 climate scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5 in three Global Circulation Models (GCMs)), and averaged the project results of the three models, we found that suitable wintering habitats in the current bustard distribution would increase during the 21st century. The Northeast Plain and the south of North China were projected to become two major wintering areas for bustards. However, the models suggest that some currently suitable habitats will experience a reduction, such as Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake in the Middle and Lower Yangtze River Basin. Although our results suggested that suitable habitats in China would widen with climate change, greater efforts should be undertaken to assess and mitigate unstudied human disturbance, such as pollution, hunting, agricultural development, infrastructure construction, habitat fragmentation, and oil and mine exploitation. All of these are negatively and intensely linked with global change.
from #Medicine via ola Kala on Inoreader http://ift.tt/1PLyRqR
via IFTTT
Αρχειοθήκη ιστολογίου
-
►
2023
(138)
- ► Φεβρουαρίου (74)
- ► Ιανουαρίου (64)
-
►
2022
(849)
- ► Δεκεμβρίου (61)
- ► Σεπτεμβρίου (74)
- ► Φεβρουαρίου (65)
-
►
2021
(2936)
- ► Δεκεμβρίου (59)
- ► Σεπτεμβρίου (180)
- ► Φεβρουαρίου (325)
-
►
2020
(1624)
- ► Δεκεμβρίου (293)
- ► Σεπτεμβρίου (234)
- ► Φεβρουαρίου (28)
-
►
2019
(13362)
- ► Δεκεμβρίου (19)
- ► Σεπτεμβρίου (54)
- ► Φεβρουαρίου (5586)
- ► Ιανουαρίου (5696)
-
►
2018
(66471)
- ► Δεκεμβρίου (5242)
- ► Σεπτεμβρίου (5478)
- ► Φεβρουαρίου (4835)
- ► Ιανουαρίου (5592)
-
►
2017
(44259)
- ► Δεκεμβρίου (5110)
- ► Σεπτεμβρίου (5105)
-
▼
2016
(7467)
- ► Δεκεμβρίου (514)
- ► Σεπτεμβρίου (1038)
-
▼
Φεβρουαρίου
(793)
-
▼
Φεβ 01
(50)
- High protein intake in young children and increase...
- Synthetic folic acid intakes and status in childre...
- Capsaicin-induced satiety is associated with gastr...
- Response to "Best (but oft forgotten) practices: t...
- Brain regulation of appetite in twins [Obesity and...
- Monitoring postnatal growth of preterm infants: pr...
- Comparison of the effect of daily consumption of p...
- Maternal anemia and risk of adverse birth and heal...
- Intakes of fish and polyunsaturated fatty acids an...
- Dietary flavonoid intake and incidence of erectile...
- Comparison of the DASH (Dietary Approaches to Stop...
- Interaction of methylation-related genetic variant...
- Exercise performed immediately after fructose inge...
- Title page and TOC [Supplement-Evaluating the Evid...
- The association between dietary saturated fatty ac...
- Dysphagia in the high-risk infant: potential facto...
- Myth-busting and fact-sharing about Family Medicine
- Technical Note: Independent component analysis for...
- High dose amoxicillin-based first line regimen is ...
- The correlation between Doppler US measurement of ...
- Laparoscopic treatment experience of severe acute ...
- Whole genome sequencing identified new somatic mut...
- MiR-874 inhibits cell growth and induces apoptosis...
- Clinical analysis on argon plasma coagulation (APC...
- Interleukin-17A inhibits cell autophagy under star...
- Clinical significance of serum protease activated ...
- Association of ABO and Rh blood groups with type 2...
- Evaluation of Atlas-Based Attenuation Correction f...
- Age-Related Sex-Specific Changes in Brain Metaboli...
- Molecular Imaging of Post-Src Inhibition Tumor Sig...
- In Vivo and In Vitro Characterization of a Novel M...
- Perfusion Imaging in Clinical Practice: A Multimod...
- Evaluation of 6-11C-Methyl-m-Tyrosine as a PET Pro...
- Synthesis and Preliminary Evaluation of Phenyl 4-1...
- Imaging the Impact of the P-Glycoprotein (ABCB1) F...
- PET Imaging of VEGFR-2 Expression in Lung Cancer w...
- Dynamic In Vivo SPECT Imaging of Neural Stem Cells...
- Efficacy and Safety of Novel Agent-Based Therapies...
- A comprehensive catalog of the lysine-acetylation ...
- Lipoxin A4 attenuates LPS-induced mouse acute lung...
- IJMS, Vol. 17, Pages 91: Biological Evaluation of ...
- IJMS, Vol. 17, Pages 193: The Role of Endoplasmic ...
- IJMS, Vol. 17, Pages 192: Pharmacological Modulato...
- IJMS, Vol. 17, Pages 191: Prioritization of Suscep...
- Climate envelope predictions indicate an enlarged ...
- Exploration of the “larval pool”: development and ...
- Estimating and comparing microbial diversity in th...
- IJMS, Vol. 17, Pages 193: The Role of Endoplasmic ...
- IJMS, Vol. 17, Pages 191: Prioritization of Suscep...
- IJMS, Vol. 17, Pages 192: Pharmacological Modulato...
-
▼
Φεβ 01
(50)
Αναζήτηση αυτού του ιστολογίου
Δευτέρα 1 Φεβρουαρίου 2016
Climate envelope predictions indicate an enlarged suitable wintering distribution for Great Bustards (Otis tarda dybowskii) in China for the 21st century
Εγγραφή σε:
Σχόλια ανάρτησης (Atom)
-
Αλέξανδρος Γ. Σφακιανάκης Medicine by Alexandros G. Sfakianakis,Anapafseos 5 Agios Nikolaos 72100 Crete Greece,00302841026182,0030693260717...
-
heory of COVID-19 pathogenesis Publication date: November 2020Source: Medical Hypotheses, Volume 144Author(s): Yuichiro J. Suzuki ScienceD...
-
https://ift.tt/2MQ8Ai8
Δεν υπάρχουν σχόλια:
Δημοσίευση σχολίου
Σημείωση: Μόνο ένα μέλος αυτού του ιστολογίου μπορεί να αναρτήσει σχόλιο.